Survey shows Pakatan can't afford to falter again

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FREE YOURSAY ‘Electorate's hate for Umno makes Pakatan the default winner.’

 

MB survey: Azizah first choice, Umno second

 

Kim Quek: The Merdeka Center poll results indicate that the cosmopolitan electorate of Selangor is far more politically mature than thought.

 

They remain strongly supportive of Pakatan Rakyat because they realise that the crisis came about due to the folly of one man (perhaps aided by the folly of another), not due to policy or performance failure or even decadence among the top leadership on the part of Pakatan.

 

That PKR president Wan Azizah Wan Ismail is by far their most favoured candidate for the menteri besarship also indicates that they respect the collective decision of the top leadership of Pakatan, and not that of any individual component party.

 

However, there is a clear warning - the perception of Pakatan has eroded and that there are also a large number of uncommitted voters who probably want to wait and see how Pakatan would wrap up the remainder of the present crisis.

 

Pakatan cannot afford to falter again. The crisis is not over until Wan Azizah is appointed the MB, for which the component parties must not splinter again.

 

Thana55: It is not that the electorate are in love with Pakatan but the electorate's hate for Umno that makes Pakatan the default winner.

 

Pakatan has wasted their time in not consolidating their position by making a tangible difference to people's lives. This they must fast track before GE14.

 

Luckily for Pakatan, Umno continues to dig themselves a deeper hole and further alienate the electorate.

Ferdtan: I wouldn't read too much from the survey results.

 

In the first place, the sample size is too small, 808 respondents, and the unrealistic proportion by race for non-Malays is 50 percent. That is not in proportion to our actual population demographics. If it is accurate, I welcome it.

 

It only shows that there is only one available candidate, Wan Azizah, and no one else. If the survey is to be taken seriously then PKR deputy president Azmin Ali is having a technical knock-out with such a poor rating as a replacement for Wan Azizah if she were to be rejected by the sultan.

 

Spinnot: Extract from ' How does Gallup polling work? ':

 

"The typical sample size for a Gallup poll, either a traditional stand-alone poll or one night's interviewing from Gallup's Daily tracking, is 1,000 national adults with a margin of error of ±4 percentage points."

 

Using a 808 sample size in this Merdeka Center survey means a slightly higher margin of error.

 

Dood: Saying that an Umno candidate is second choice is a flawed analysis. Bear in mind that these choices are the respondent's first choice.

 

Umno/BN supporters are those who probably chose the Umno choice for MB, and non-Umno/BN supporters would be the ones who have chosen Wan Azizah, Azmin, or a PAS candidate choice, meaning that at least 43% choosing a non-Umno candidate and only at least 15% choosing a non-Pakatan candidate.

 

I seriously doubt that the second choice for most of those who chose Wan Azizah, Azmin, or PAS would be the Umno candidate instead of one of the other Pakatan choices.

 

For many Pakatan supporters, Umno would be the last choice, if even it is a choice at all.

 

Terrifical: Since Khalid Ibrahim is still in the running, he should have also been included as a choice. That would have been fair.

 

I do wonder if "unsure" means people did not see a choice that was obvious to them. I am not a supporter of either. But this survey is manipulative at best, bad at worst.

 

The Analyser: Don't the results actually say that 75% of respondents don’t want an Anwar surrogate to be MB?

 

I'd be taking more notice of the ‘others’ and those ‘unsure’, who think that Selangor would be better off with an MB who is not a political party puppet.

 

Voiceless: Merdeka Center should do a survey to see if voters think Pakatan should have retained Khalid as MB, that they had made a mistake removing him. After all, with only 25 percent wanted Wan Azizah, there is nothing to shout about.

 

Casey: The question asked of whether Wan Azizah would make a better MB than Khalid is becoming increasingly moot and having little or no practical relevance.

 

Politicians who hold public offices, Dr Mahathir Mohamad included, were generally overrated. What is more important in the quality of a leader is that of integrity, the quality of being honest and with strong moral principles.

 

As regard this attribute, I think there is no reason for us to doubt that Wan Azizah is inferior to Khalid.

 

Rtd Airforce: I know Wan Azizah from 1998 when her husband DSAI (Anwar) was put in prison.

 

When the election was around the corner, we rented a house in Taman Siakap. Tables and chairs were provided by me since I was running a restaurant.

 

Wan Azizah should be given the mandate by HM (His Majesty) Selangor sultan to become MB.

 

MalaysianVoter: With the finding of this survey, now more reason than ever for the sultan to appoint Kak Wan. Findings of Merdeka Centre's surveys have always been quite credible.


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