COMMENT | Johoreans head to polls in two days amid a campaign that has been rhetorically heated but not “hot” for ordinary voters.

It is useful to look back at the features of voting behaviour in Johor to understand what might happen this Saturday.

Drawing from my analysis of estimated voting using ecological inference, statistical analysis of polling station and “saluran” results over the past three elections, I lay out some patterns that point to the important trends that will shape the results.

Here are questions about voting in Johor that are important to watch? The lens of this analysis focuses on...